STOCK MARKET MODELER(tm)
(c)Dr Jeff Software Co. 2009
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SMM DATA GUIDE
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The "Stock Market Analyzer" contains 3 independent models:
  1. Market Forces -- 10 independent "forces"
  2. Technical Levels -- index levels of the DOW, NDAQ, S&P, BKX
  3. Calendar -- seasonal, daily, Holidays, quarter-end, and option
expirations (with pres. election years factored in)

Only the first 2 models require user input data -- data which is highly 
subjective.  This guide provides an updated baseline set of suggested current 
Market Force and Technical Levels values based on current conditions.  These 
values will be adjusted frequently, as conditions change.  Dr Jeff encourages 
users to experiment with their own set of values, and perform "what if" conjectures.

CURRENT VALUE SET
Dr Jeff hereby offers a suggested set of values for the "Market Forces" and 
"Technical Levels" models (user should supply the "VIX" value and the technical 
index "Current Level" values):

Market Force      Str Value  |   Index  Support Resist  Symbol
1- Geo-Political    5  60    |   DOW    9,300   10,000  $DJX
2- Oil/Energy       3  79    |   NAS    2,000    2,170  $NDX (NAS 100)
     Reverse:  Yes           |   S&P500   980    1,080  $SPX
3- Interest Rates   8   0    |   BKX       19       50  $BKX
4+ Dollar Strength  8  55
5+ Economic Data    8  25    |   Weights   MF    Tech   Cal
6+ Earn/Guid/News   5  60    |   	   10	  8	 6
7+ Short Interest   7  70
8+ Sidelined Funds  7  75
9+ Sentiment/Inert  6  45
10- Volatility      5  ->use the "VIX" (automatic calculation when value supplied)
     [current VIX = 22, off its recent historic high of 87]

MODEL OUTPUTS
Dr Jeff Index (Market Index) = -2 [-100 to +100]
     Tomorrow (Mon) = +2.0%
PERFORMANCE (Last 10 days):  "Tomorrow" Correct 5/10

LAST UPDATED:  10/23/09

MARKET FORCES Model
The "Market Forces" model identifies, weights and valuates the top 10 forces
acting on the stock market as a whole.  The user adjusts the weights, and
provides all valuations subjectively.  This model is a market "electronic
spreadsheet," in that it supports "what if" conjectures.  Simply change a
few parameters, and instantly see how it affects the market.

Market Force Values
The "values" (range of 0-100) of the Market Forces model are subjective user
estimates, with the value selected representing a percentage of a
parameter's normal range -- with "0" indicating a non-existent force, 
"50" a neutral force, and "100" a strongest possible force.  Moreover, the 
Market Forces "value" is normalized to 0 for the default settings of all 
forces set at 50 (neutral).
   The "Volatility" parameter is related to the "VIX" (Volatility Index), and thus 
has its value recomputed with each change in the VIX value (user supplied).  The 
"Oil/Energy" parameter has a correlation reversal checkbox.

CAVEAT:  NO OUTPUT IS INVESTMENT ADVICE, AND ALL DATA ARE USED AT YOUR OWN RISK.
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